Monday, June 18, 2018

Where Did Monotheism Come From?

Judaism introduced two revolutionary ideas to the ancient world. The first was monotheism: there is only one God, Who created the universe and Who expects some kind of level of moral behavior from the people He created. The second was abolition of human sacrifice. (I have read that the Hindus abolished human sacrifice about the same time as the Jews; but casual googling gives me the impression that human sacrifice has died out gradually among the Hindus, starting around 500 BCE, and has persisted sporadically into modern times.)

So where did monotheism come from?

The following sentence is phrased to try to convince even people who don't believe in an Abrahamic religion. The traditional narrative of the ancient Israelites, as recorded in Genesis, is that their ancestors came from Mesopotamia in the early second century BCE and that those ancestors worshiped a single God.

I also assume that David Ulansey is headed in the right direction about Mithraism. You can see his take on Mithraism here and here. Briefly, Mithraism was a (sort of) monotheistic mystery cult that was popular in the Roman Empire until it was suppressed by the Christians. The earliest date claimed for evidence of the existence of the cult is 67 BCE. The Mithraic god was Mithra, the god of heaven.

The central image of Mithraism was the "tauroctony", an image of a man killing a bull.

To understand Ulansey's take on Mithraism, you need to know what the precession of the equinoxes is. The first two Google hits on "precession of the equinoxes" are to the Brittanica.com article and the Wikipedia article. Start with the Brittanica.com article first because it is much more concise than the Wikipedia article. Then skim the Wikipedia article for whatever interests you there. If you are having trouble visualizing what is going on, try this video. (You can also try YouTube but beware of videos with agendas.)  Briefly, the Earth's axis wobbles, with a period of about 26,000 years. As a result, the zodiacal constellation in which the Sun rises on the first day of Spring keeps changing. For about the past 2000 years, the Sun has been rising in Pisces on the first day of Spring, and we have been in what the astrologers call the Age of Pisces. Between about 2200 BCE and the year zero, during the Age of Aries, the Sun rose in Aries on the first day of Spring. Between about 4400 BCE and 2200 BCE, during the Age of Taurus, the Sun rose in Taurus on the first day of Spring.

Ulansey's thesis is that the tauroctony shows Mithra the god of heaven killing Taurus to usher in the Age of Aries.

The precession of the equinoxes was discovered by the Greek astronomer Hipparchus in abut 125 BCE. Ulansey proposes that sometime in the following 50 years or so someone, presumably somewhere in the Mediterranean basin, invented a new mystery cult based on Hipparchus' discovery, with the name of the (only?) (main?) god of the cult being borrowed from the Zoroastrian pantheon to make the cult sound exotic.

My problem with that foundational hypothesis is: Why a bull? Why not a ram? In about 100 years the vernal equinox (the point in the zodiac where the sun is on the first day of Spring) is going to move from Aries to Pisces. Wouldn't it be more to the point to depict the Master of Heaven as ushering in the Age of Pisces?

I propose that what eventually became Mithraism started more than 2000 years before, in The Theological Crisis of the 24th Century BCE. I conjecture that during the Age of Taurus Mesopotamian priest-astronomers developed an elaborate (poly)theology, one of whose essential components was that the vernal equinox has to be in Taurus. In the 24th century BCE these priest-astronomers saw to their horror that the vernal equinox was continuing to move west through Taurus and in about 100 years or so would move into Aries. To some of the priest-astronomers, this could only mean that the gods they had been worshiping were mere servants of a Master God Who dwells outside the observable universe and Who directs the affairs of the universe through His servants. Of course, these heretics had to keep their heresy secret.

This conjecture also addresses some of the other weaknesses in Ulansey's theory that have been identified by his critics. For example, Shepherd Simpson wrote:
Prof Ulansey argues that the characters are constellations and that the constellations shown are those which lay on the Celestial Equatorduring the period between about 2000 BC and 4000 BC - his dates for the Age of Taurus. This, he argues, is how the tauroctony is able to depict a particular moment in time: owing to the Precession of the Equinoxes, the constellations which lie along the Celestial Equator change slowly with time, so a particular constellation list indicates a particular time period.
...
Finally, the other question which arises is - even for a skilled astrologer - would it have been possible at the time to calculate which constellations would have been on the Celestial Equator during the Age of Taurus? To say the least this would have been an impressive feat! We have no indication that this was possible, nor any indication that any astrologer of the time ever attempted or achieved such a task.
 The heretical priest-astronomers didn't need to calculate anything. They just had to look up at the sky to see which constellations were on the celestial equator.

Several centuries later, some of the heretics migrated (fled?) west to the shores of the Mediterranean. Some of the migrants were the ancestors of the Israelites. The other migrants kept their heresy entirely secret until the precession of the equinoxes was rediscovered and published by the unbelievers and it was no longer necessary to preserve total secrecy.

Thursday, May 3, 2018

Some Mitzvot have Expiration Dates II

I need to re-think Part I in light of last Shabbat's Haftarah, from Yeheske'el 44:15:
והכהנים הלוים בני צדוק אשר שמרו את משמרת מקדשי בתעות בני ישראל מעלי המה יקרבו אלי לשרתני ועמדו לפני להקריב לי חלב ודם נאם אדני יהוה
At the end of Part I I wrote: 
Next (and this is where I go beyond RaMBaM) the system was designed to gradually invalidate the members of that extended family [the Kohanim]. We didn't get the hint after the Babylonians destroyed the first Temple, so God had to send the Romans to destroy the second Temple.
 So what do I do about Yehezke'el 44:15? Maybe it was a certification of the purity of the descendants of Zadok. Maybe it was a re-set of the purity of the descendants of Zadok. Or maybe it was not at all a reference to the Terrestrial Temple, but rather to the Celestial Temple, Judaism has a concept of בית המקדש של מעלה that may date back all the way to Yeshayahu's first vision:
בִּשְׁנַת-מוֹת הַמֶּלֶךְ עֻזִּיָּהוּ, וָאֶרְאֶה אֶת-אֲדֹנָי יֹשֵׁב עַל-כִּסֵּא רָם וְנִשָּׂא; וְשׁוּלָיו, מְלֵאִים אֶת-הַהֵיכָל. 
 Where was that היכל? Not on Earth:
כה אמר יהוה השמים כסאי והארץ הדם רגלי אי זה בית אשר תבנו לי ואי זה מקום מנוחתי  
(Yeshayahu 66:1) but rather in Heaven. Yehezke'el's whole discussion of what now is called "the Third Temple" may be an extended description of an abstract entity, of which the Terrestrial Temple was just a physical representation, the way "2" is a physical representation of an abstract mathematical concept. In support of this thesis, I point out that the floor plan of the Second Temple followed the floor plan of the First Temple, not the floor plan of Yehezke'el's Temple.

If the future Temple, and the associated rituals, are a complex of abstract concepts, an understanding of which is connected to the Final Redemption, either as a consequence or as a prerequisite, then praying for the restoration of the Temple and of sacrificial worship continues to make sense, despite the built-in impossibility of their physical restoration.

Thursday, April 19, 2018

When Were The Middle Ages?

The Middle Ages are conventionally defined as when ancient civilization collapsed and recovered in Western Europe. The usual date given for the start of the Middle Ages is 476 when the last Western Roman Emperor was deposed. Wikipedia gives the following dates as having been proposed for the end of the Middle Ages:

1500 (an arbitrary round number)
1492 (first transatlantic voyage of Columbus; end of Reconquista)
1453 (fall of Constantinople)
1517 (Protestant Reformation)
1485 (Battle of Bosworth Field)
1516 (death of Ferdinand II)
1504 (death of Isabella I)

Except for 1453 all these ending dates are West Eurocentric, as is the focus on Western Europe in the definition of the Middle Ages. That geographc focus is too restrictive. Western civilization started in northeast Africa and southwest Asia (see my chronology here). Any account of Western civilization should cover everything that happened between the Iranian Plateau and the Atlantic Ocean.

IMHO if the Middle Ages are supposed to be what happened in the West between the effective end of Roman Empire hegemony over the Mediterranean Basin and the rise of modern Western civilization, they should be defined in terms of as when Christianity and Islam fought for supremacy between the Iranian Plateau and the Atlantic Ocean. In any case, there was no abrupt transition from antiquity to medieval or from medieval to modern. The transition periods should be defined by ranges of dates rather than single dates.

So here are my proposed ranges, both of which are conveniently 297 years long.

Transition from antiquity to medieval:
325: First Council of Nicaea: Christianity is standardized sufficiently for it to become (towards the end of the century) an official state religion
622: Hegira

At the end of the first transition period, the two transnational Abrahamic religions are in place and ready to start fighting over what used to be the Roman Empire.

Transition from medieval to modern:
1492: First transatlantic voyage of Columbus (start of European takeover of the rest of the globe); Fall of Grenada (end of Moslem rule in Western Europe)
1789: French Revolution (The Europeans now have finished assembling the social and political institutions that will enable them to finish their takeover of the rest of the globe. In particular, what used to be Christendom, but now is partially secularized, now is overwhelmingly more powerful than any other society generally and the Islamic Ummah in particular.)

If you still insist on a single date, 476 is as good a date as any for the start of the Middle Ages. The usual dates for the end of the Middle Ages are about 150 years too soon. My candidate is 1648 and the Peace of Westphalia, in which the countries of Europe agreed to stop fighting over religion, thereby formally abandoning the legal fiction of a single renewed (Holy) Roman Empire with a single (Catholic) state religion.

Monday, April 16, 2018

Some Mitzvot have Expiration Dates

How eternal is the Torah, really?

In Niddah 61b, Rav Yosef says
מצוות בטלות לעתיד לבוא
which the William Davidson Talmud translates as
mitzvot will be nullified in the coming days 
Except that some mitzvot already have been nullified.

Some mitzvot have explicit expiration dates. One obvious example is the rites of dedication of the mishkan, as described in Sh'mot chapter 29.  Another example is the prohibition of intermarriage among the tribes, in Bamidbar chapter 36, which, according to Rava in Bava Batra 120a, was in force for only one generation:
אמר רבא: אמר קרא (במדבר לו, ו) "זה הדבר" - דבר זה לא יהא נוהג אלא בדור זה. 
William Davidson Talmud translation:
Rava said that the verse states there: “This is the matter that the Lord has commanded” (Numbers 36:6), meaning: This matter will not be practiced except in this generation.
Indeed, RaMBaM does not include mitzvot that have explicit expiration dates among his 613.

Other mitzvot are nullified by historical circumstances. The clearest example of this is the nullification of the prohibition of marrying Ammonite and Moabite converts. Here is how that nullification is presented in Mishnah Yadayim 4:4:
בו ביום בא יהודה גר עמוני ועמד לפניהן בבית המדרש.
אמר להם, מה אני לבוא בקהל.
אמר לו רבן גמליאל, אסור אתה.
אמר לו רבי יהושע, מתר אתה.
אמר לו רבן גמליאל, הכתוב אומר (דברים כג), 'לא יבא עמוני ומואבי בקהל ה' גם דור עשירי וגו .
אמר לו רבי יהושע, וכי עמונים ומואבים במקומן הן, כבר עלה סנחריב מלך אשור ובלבל את כל האמות, שנאמר (ישעיה י), ואסיר גבלות עמים ועתודותיהם שושתי ואוריד כביר יושבים.
אמר לו רבן גמליאל, הכתוב אומר (ירמיה מט), ואחרי כן אשיב את שבות בני עמון, וכבר חזרו.
אמר לו רבי יהושע, הכתוב אומר (עמוס ט), ושבתי את שבות עמי ישראל [ ויהודה ], ועדין לא שבו.
התירוהו לבוא בקהל.
Sefaria translation:
On that very day, Yehuda, an Ammonite convert, came and stood before them in the Beit Midrash, and said to them, "What is my status with regard to whether I can enter [via marriage] into the congregation [of Israel]?" Rabban Gamliel said to him, "You are prohibited." Rabbi Yehoshua said to him, "You are permitted." Rabban Gamliel said to him, "The verse says, (Deuteronomy 23:4) 'An Ammonite and a Moavite may not enter into the congregation of the Lord, even to the tenth generation,' and so forth." Rabbi Yehoshua said to him, "And are the Ammonites or Moavites still [dwelling] in their own place? Sancheriv, king of Assyria, already arose and blended all the nations, as the verse says, (Isaiah 10:13) 'I have removed the borders of nations, and I have plundered their treasures, and like a great warrior laid low the inhabitants.'" Rabban Gamliel said to him, "The verse [also] states, (Jeremiah 49:6) 'And afterwards I shall return the captives of the children of Ammon,' and they are already returned." Rabbi Yehoshua said to him, "The verse [also] states, (Amos 9:14) 'And I shall return the captives of my nation Israel,' [and Judah], and they are not yet returned." They [the Sages, subsequently] permitted him [the Ammonite convert] to enter into the congregation.
The historical circumstance that nullified this prohibition was the Assyrian policy of population exchange that mixed all ethnicities.

Now for my agenda. A whole set of mitzvot that have been nullified by historical circumstances are all the mitzvot associated with sacrificial worship.Statistically, all Jews are mamzerim (see here and here), from which it follows that there no longer are any true kohanim.

So what was sacrificial worship doing in the Torah in the first place? I'm with RaMBaM on this one. You can read RaMBaM's take on sacrificial worship in The Guide for the Perplexed Part III Chapter 32 (which, unless you can read the Arabic original, you may as well read in English because the Hebrew version also is a translation). Sacrificial worship was supposed to be a temporary expedient that was destined to be outgrown. First, it was limited to a specific location and had to be performed by the members of a specific extended family. Next (and this is where I go beyond RaMBaM) the system was designed to gradually invalidate the members of that extended family. We didn't get the hint after the Babylonians destroyed the first Temple, so God had to send the Romans to destroy the second Temple.

So there is no point in building a third Temple.

Sunday, April 15, 2018

All Jews are Mamzerim III

Another consequence of all Jews being statistically mamzerim is that, despite what The Temple Institute says, it is forbidden to renew sacrificial worship. If all Jews are statistically mamzerim, it follows that all male descendants of Aaron  are statistically halalim, and so are not kohanim. Sacrificial worship requires the participation of kohanim. For example, the sacrifice of an animal includes at least four steps: slaughtering the animal, collecting some of its blood, carrying the blood to the altar, and offering the blood on the altar. Only the first step may be performed by a non-kohen.

A halal (חלל) is the son of a kohen and a woman whom he is forbidden to marry. Those who want to renew sacrificial worship might argue that the son of a kohen who is "just" a halal (for example, a son of a kohen and a divorcee) may participate in sacrificial worship. As RaMBaM states (הלכות ביאת מקדש ו:י)
כהן שעבד ונבדק ונמצא חלל עבודתו כשירה לשעבר ואינו עובד להבא ואם עבד לא חילל שנאמר ברך י"י חילו ופועל ידיו תרצה אף חולין שבו תרצה
Chabad translation:
When a priest performed service and afterwards, his [genealogy] was checked and it was discovered that he was a challal, his previous service is acceptable, but he may not serve in the future. If, however, he does [continue] to serve, he does not desecrate the service. [This is derived from Deuteronomy 33:11]: "May God bless His legion and find acceptable the work of his hand." [implied is that] He will find acceptable even the desecrated among them.
But this is not the case for a halal who is also a mamzer. The Encyclopedia Talmudit article on halal says that there are differences of opinion among the Rishonim about whether sacrificial worship by a kohen mamzer is valid retroactively; but nobody maintains that a kohen mamzer is allowed to participate a priori in sacrificial worship. RaSHBA (reference 466 there) distinguishes between sons of women who are prohibited only to kohanim (פסולי כהונה), to whom Devarim 33:11 applies, and sons of women who are prohibited to Jews generally (פסולי קהל), to whom Devarim 33:11 does not apply.

Friday, April 13, 2018

Robert E. Lee Was Not Stupid

I am approaching the end of the Audiobook version of Jubilee by Margaret Walker. It has inspired me to surf the Web to learn more about the US Civil War.

One of the issues that is covered is: given the great Union superiority in manpower and industry, why did the Confederacy think it could win. The answer seems to be cotton. In 1860, two-thirds of the world's cotton was produced by the US. The English textile industry got all of its cotton from the US. All of that cotton was grown in the southern US. The Rebels just assumed that the British, desperate for cotton for their mills, would send the Royal Navy to break the Union blockade. In the end that didn't happen. English textile mills were shut down for about a year after they used up their pre-war stockpiles and were scrambling to find alternate sources of cotton, but find alternate sources they did, in India and Egypt. The Rebels had no Plan B for fallback.

Another issue that is covered is the wisdom of Lee's invasions of the North. Some historians argue that Lee was stupid to invade the North. The argument against invading the north seems to be that all the South needed to do to win was play defense to hold on to what it had at the beginning of the war, and Lee was very good at defense. But both times he invaded the North he was badly beaten, at Antietam and at Gettysburg.

Actually, Lee's invasions of the North were his own Plan B. To explain that, I need to refer to something that I blogged in April 2015. At the end of the Thirty Years' War, the Prussians said "Never Again!" and organized an army strong enough to make an invader think twice before invading. Now here is something I learned from this YouTube video. At the end of the Thirty Years' War, Prussia was small and economically weak, and its potential enemies, Austria, Russia and Sweden, all were major European powers. The only chance Prussia would ever have to win a war would be to take crazy risks and hit the enemy army hard when the enemy army wasn't expecting an attack. The Prussians never bothered planning for a war of attrition because they knew a priori that they never could win a war of attrition. This style of grand strategy worked so well (most of the time) for the next 200 years that in 1871 what used to be little puny Prussia now had become the German Empire, a Major European Power. Except that the German Army still thought like the old Prussian Army and didn't plan for wars of attrition, even though, as a Major European Power, Germany was now in a position to contemplate wars of attrition. This conceptual failure came back to haunt them in the Fall of 1914 and at the end of 1941, when their great offensive Plans A failed and they hadn't bothered to formulate a Plan B.

Back to Lee. Lee knew perfectly well that there was no way that the Confederacy could win a war of attrition against the Union, and without British intervention on the side of the Confederacy that was what the war had become by the middle of 1862. The only hope the Confederacy had to win was by imitating Prussia, and that is why Lee invaded the North. The only remaining question is why Lee kept fighting after Gettysburg, when he knew the war was lost. Maybe it was a matter of honor. Maybe he was hoping the politicians would come up with something,

Sunday, February 18, 2018

All Jews are Mamzerim II

If you are reading this blog post, you probably already are aware of the Mamzerut problem. In case you aren't, this Jewish Week article is a very good explanation of the problem.

The classical solution to the problem is "don't ask don't tell". Or, as the Bavli puts it in Kiddushin 71a,

משפחה שנטמעה נטמעה

 which means "a family (that includes mamzerim) that gets blended in (to the general population) stays blended in" - despite all the members of the general population who are now unknowingly marrying mamzerim.  At first sight this looks intellectually dishonest, but not if you interpret the prohibition in Devarim 23:3,

No mamzer shall be admitted into the congregation of the Lord
as meaning that no Jew who is known to be a mamzer shall be admitted into the congregation of the Lord. That works for Jews who are not known to be mamzerim, or for mamzerim who (properly IMHO) succeed in concealing their status, but it doesn't work for known mamzerim. In particular, it doesn't work for the mamzerim who are unfortunate enough to be on the Israel Rabbinate's blacklist. The mere existence of that blacklist subverts the traditional solution of "don't ask don't tell". As Daniel the tailor stated in Vayikra Rabbah 32:8 in interpreting Kohelet 4:1 as referring to mamzerim,

"their oppressors are empowered", this refers to Israel's Great Sanhedrin, who comes at them with the power of Torah, and pushes them away in the name of "no mamzer shall be admitted into the congregation of the Lord."

OTOH maybe the Sages were being intellectually dishonest. Shortly after
משפחה שנטמעה נטמעה
 the Bavli has the following b'raita:
תאנא עוד אחרת היתה ולא רצו חכמים לגלותה אבל חכמים מוסרים אותו לבניהם ולתלמידיהן פעם אחת בשבוע 
which means "There was another (family that was known to include mamzerim) that the Sages didn't want to identify, but they transferred the information to their children and to their students once every seven years". So "don't ask don't tell" was good enough for the masses, but not for the leaders.

It would be so much simpler, and more honest, if we would just admit that after 3000 years of Jewish history all of us are mamzerim. All it takes to make you a mamzer is one mamzer in your family tree. Statistically, the odds of you not having a mamzer in your family tree from that unidentified family are vanishingly small. Jack Lee used that kind of statistical argument to prove that he is a descendant of Charlemagne. Baruch Fischer and Moshe Zakai used more sophisticated mathematics to prove that by Second Temple times all Jews were descendants of King David. I used Jack Lee's method in part I to prove that all Jews are mamzerim.

Recently, I considered studying and actually understanding Fischer and Zakai in order to strengthen my argument. But then I changed my mind. How would my own increased understanding of the statistics help convince others? So I decided instead to code a mamzer simulator. Starting with an initial population with either no mamzerim or a miniscule proportion of mamzerim, and following the status of the population over several generations, depending on the input parameters, almost every run of the simulator winds up with the entire population being mamzerim and mamzerot within about 15 generations. The reason for that is that a child is a mamzer if either of his parents is a mamzer. As a result, the proportion of mamzerim in the population grows faster than the population, and eventually takes over the whole population.

This is what a typical output looks like (as of the date of this posting; I expect that the code will be improved). I started with 40 married couples. None of the 80 members of the founding generation were mamzerim or mamzerot. I introduced mamzerut by allowing one out of every 200 pregnancies to be the result of an adulterous union. The simulator runs for 15 generations and produces the following output that portrays the children of each generation:



Each colored row shows the children born in that generation. Boys who are mamzerim are represented by red rectangles. Boys who are not mamzerim are represented by blue rectangles. Girls who are mamzerot are represented by yellow rectangles. Girls who are not mamzerot are represented by green rectangles.  The "ratio" in the table is the proportion of mamzerim+mamzerot in the whole population, in each generation.  By the eighth generation, all the children are mamzerim and mamzerot.

I invite you to try the simulator for yourself, at http://avirosenthal.website2.me/

Update 5/6/18: That URL no longer exists. I will re-do. Meanwhile, this Web page suggests that a reasonable value for adulterous pregnancies is between 1 in 50 and 1 in 100.

(Later...) When I signed up with Wix to re-build the Web site, the old URL came back. Just ignore the "contact" page. I think Wix puts it there by default.

Update 10/6/18 In case you think that Jewish women are more virtuous than those of that Web page, I refer you to the end of Yevamot 118b:
תנא וכולן מזנות ותולות בבעליהן